Playing golf, campaigning in New York, and posting weird shit on Truth Social

If you don’t live in PA, MI, NV, WI, NC, GA, AZ, or FL, chances are you won’t be seeing a lot of presidential ads.

Lucky you.

Trump’s ads have been largely focused on immigration and the US-Mexico border which is so vital to the everday lives of people in Harrisburg, Ann Arbor, Eu Claire, Greensboro, and Decatur, it boggles the mind why Trump is not up by 20 points in those places.

Immigration from places south of the continental United States impact California, Arizona, New Mexico, and Texas primarily and to a lesser extent Louisiana, Florida, and Alabama. And for reasons that are never really clear New York State.

Unfortunately, neither realism nor pragmatism is able to convince nihilists of two fundamental political realities:

Anti-immigration politics does not sell well without high unemployment. A combination of low unemployment, strong wage growth, and falling interest rates means the economy can easily subsume immigration, whether it’s legal or illegal, easily.

When it comes to immigration; the political Right, outside of California, Washington State, and Nevada (where anti-Asian immigration runs deep), is solely concerned with Black and Brown people. In order to sell this naked racism, the second reality comes into play — lying about crime and the economy.

The messaging is brazen…criminals are immigrating to the U.S. kill, rape, steal, sell drugs, and apparantly eat your pets. And that kind of messaging eventually turns off voters.

Recently, Trump’s ads have shifted somewhat to the economy and hitting Harris as “dangerous;y liberal”; however, it’s not a great argument. Gen Y and Z are overwhelmingly liberal and Boomers are largely a mixed bag when you ask them “When was the economy good for you?”.

Meanwhile Trump has been sparsely seen on the campaign trail (which oddly included a trip to New York) prefering to golf and post stuff like this.

WEIRD.