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Nov 5, 2021Liked by Kevin Wray

Great views. In addition, voter enthusiasm needs to be taken into consideration. The Virginia GOP held numerous rallies and events in the months leading to the election. GOP voters were excited, and actively recruiting friends and neighbors to turn out to vote. As expected, early Absentee (both in person and mail) voted predominantly Democratic, and in person Election day voting skewed Republican.

An additional topic that drew immense support for Youngkin was the gaff by McAullife in September stating that parents didn't need to be involved in school curriculum decisions. Not exactly what he actually said, but that is what voters heard.

And Youngkin pouring in over $20 Million of his own money certainly helped. The Republicans poured large amounts of money into ads in markets that had traditionally voted Democratic, and it helped galvanize their base.

Republicans got their voters out, and Democrats were less excited. An electorate with a 25% base with 85-90% turnout will beat a base of 55% that only turns out 35-40% of it's supporters.

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