The 2020 Election Analysis in one convenient post.

5 parts...maybe a 10 minute or so read. Total. That's a coffee break. Do people still get those?

After the political smoke cleared; Joe Biden, in 2020, seemed to have pulled off an impressive political turnaround from 2016.¹

The failure of the GOP to figure out a means of either satiating the Libertarian Right or reducing their popular vote draw diminished their hopes of majoritarianism in the age of Trump.²

And ability of the Libertarian Party to affect the outcome of presidential elections exploded in 2016 and 2020.³

Presidential battles are essentially about either appealing to populism or likeability.⁴ If you need a TL:DR of the 2016 election, it’s this: Democratic-leaning Independent voters found Hillary so unlikeable, they voted Libertarian.⁵

Coming into the final 90 or so days of the 2024 election, the Democrats have a strong populist message with Kamala’s likeability being as mere bonus against the very weird Trump/Vance ticket.

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